Currency Essay

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The  term  currency  generally  refers  to  the  official means  and  regulations  of payment  of a country  or region, which have been legally introduced and which are accepted (by law) as a compensation for goods and services. Currency includes banknotes and coins and represents  a sub-category of money. Money refers to all means  of exchange, also gold, whiskey, tobacco, and other commodities. Currencies, however, are means of payment that are produced and regulated by the government  and do not represent  goods on their own. Their intrinsic value (i.e., the physical value of a currency) does not coincide with its traded value.

The production and issuance  of currencies  is, in most cases, incumbent  on national central banks or a single central bank for a certain currency zone, such as the European  Central  Bank, which is responsible for the European Monetary Union. Such institutions regulate the money supply in order to guarantee price stability and, thus, avoid inflation.

Today, about 160 different currencies  exist which have, according to their name, an ISO 4217 currency code  consisting  of three  alphabetical  letters.  They are used in international trade, e.g., EUR for the euro or USD for U.S. dollar. In order  to buy goods from any other society it may be necessary to have foreign currency.  Therefore,  currencies  can also be subject to trade  and the value of one currency  in terms  of another  currency  is expressed by the exchange rate. For international trade, very often leading currencies (i.e., currencies that are preferably used in cross-border transactions) are chosen. They can be easily traded internationally  and are often chosen to lock out the exchange rate risk, because they are considered more stable than other currencies. Such leading currencies include, among others, the U.S. dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound sterling and the Swiss franc.

Functions And Characteristics

A currency fulfills three main functions: medium of exchange, unit of account,  and store of value. As a medium of exchange, a currency allows its holder to exchange it for any good or service that  he or she requires. That is, the seller of a product  is not confined by the products  of his clients, as would be the case in barter  transactions,  where  goods  and  services are exchanged without money. Therefore, currencies give their owners more flexibility. It is necessary that people trust  in a currency  as a medium of exchange, i.e., that  they can reliably exchange it for other goods or services. This is of special importance  if the  traded  value of the  currency  does not reflect the  real value of the  material  that  the  currency is made of; for example, banknotes  may indicate  a higher  value (printed  on  the  surface)  than their real, physical value (i.e., the value of the paper) represents.  In order  to guarantee  that  the nominal value of a banknote  equals the real value of goods and services, its issuer has to hold reserves of commodities (such as gold) that guarantee  the nominal value. In case of inflation (i.e., a decrease in the value of a currency), market agents may lose their trust in a certain currency and shift to barter transactions  to exclude the risk of a devaluing currency.

Currencies,  as  a  unit  of  account,  also  facilitate the comparison  of unequal goods or services. It may seem difficult to compare a haircut (a service) with a new notebook (a commodity) without having a value of reference. By indicating how much of a currency is needed to buy a haircut and a notebook, it is possible to easily compare these commodities with each other. In addition, this also allows the comparison  between countries by using the exchange rate, e.g., how much does a certain notebook  cost in country  A and how much  in country  B. Currencies  as a unit of account also facilitate the comparison of productivity and success of companies across industries and countries.

Finally, currencies allow their owner to store value for future consumption. In comparison to goods, such as fish or vegetables, currencies are more durable and therefore  save value. Historically speaking, however, periods of inflation and deflation have shown that the real value of a currency can considerably be altered, which relativizes this function. Still, the advantages of currencies outweigh other media of exchange or units of account. Currencies also allow the establishment of more complex credit systems, where those who need value to buy certain  assets can borrow money from those who have stored it for future consumption. This again improves the efficiency of an economy as money can more optimally be allocated by its participants, in line with their wants and needs.

In order to fulfill all these functions, a currency has to  have certain  characteristics.  A good  currency  is easy to recognize and can be easily distinguished from other assets. This is definitely true for gold, due to its unique luster, color, and weight. Regarding banknotes and coins, they are unique, because they have special imprints and embossments. Apart from that, they also include several copy protections.  It is also important that a currency is divisible and portable. On the one hand, if gold is used as a currency, it can be simply cut into pieces without  destroying  the value of the broken parts as they reflect their implicit value. As far as banknotes  and coins are concerned,  there are several subunits  of them,  indicating  different values printed on their  surfaces, which do not  represent  their  real value (see above). On the other hand, the transportation of a currency should be easy, thus increasing the its flexibility and circulation. Finally, it is crucial that a currency  is durable. This is necessary to fulfill the function of storage of value as explained above. Today, the use of electronic transactions and electronic credit cards, instead of a physical exchange of currencies for goods or services, makes these characteristics  nearly obsolete. Also, bank accounts are denominated in currencies and not in goods or services.

Currency And The  Economy

The introduction of a currency facilitates international and international trade considerably. David Ricardo’s theory of comparative advantage postulates that countries, companies, and individuals should specialize in the production of certain goods or services in order to realize gains from trade. However, this indicates that agents have to buy several other goods or services in order to survive, as they specialize in producing only one particular  product  and not everything they may need. In simple economies, barter may be eligible, but costs of trade will increase due to higher transportation costs, thus making products  more expensive. In more complex economies, trade  that  is solely based on barter transactions  is almost impossible.

Due to the three functions of currencies (see above) it  is not  necessary  to  triangulate  transactions,  i.e., individual A wants to buy goods from individual B, who is only prepared to exchange products  for those of  individual  C,  who  him/herself   needs  products from individual A. As a consequence, currencies even speed up trade and reduce the number  of transports as the purchase and sale of goods or services can be separated from each other. This increases efficiency in trade and transaction  costs can be cut severely.

Currency Crises

The pressure on global financial markets in the 1990s caused several currency crises. Examples include the Czech Republic crisis in 1997 and the Russian crisis in 1998, which harmed  their economy severely. It is worth mentioning that both crises had been triggered by different economic variables. On the one hand, the Czech currency crisis was characterized  by a deterioration  of macroeconomic fundamentals  and  political instability, appearance  of a speculative attack, an effort to defend the koruna, and finally a depreciation and change in the exchange rate regime from a fixed to a floating one. On the other hand, the crisis in Russia can be seen as the consequence  of its fragile and vulnerable economic and political fundamentals  and massive capital flight.

So far, three  different  prevailing  models  aim  at explaining how currency  crises come into existence and  which  variables best  describe  or  even  predict them.  Krugman’s model, developed in 1979, is generally known as the traditional  approach  concerning currency  crises. It is based on balance of payments problems,  reflected  by a steady but  slow reduction in international reserves, in a country with a pegged currency. According to this model, the expansion of domestic credits to finance fiscal deficits or improve a weakening banking system and the increase of money demand reduce international reserves and consequently  results  in  a  speculative  attack  that  would force  authorities   to  abandon  their  fixed exchange rate  regime.  In  following  years,  Krugman’s  model was extended by other studies and showed that a real appreciation  of a currency  often  precedes  a speculative attack. In addition, domestic interest rates increase if a currency crash is at hand. To sum up, the first-generation models focus on expansionary macroeconomic  measures undertaken by a country with a fixed exchange rate regime and therefore are said to be predictable.

Second-generation models refer to countercyclical government policies and take into account uncertainties and features of speculative attacks. Currency crises are also defined as changes from one monetary policy equilibrium to another, caused by self-fulfilling speculative attacks. For example, agents believe that currency A will lose its value in the near future and therefore  exchange it for a more  stable one. Therefore, the demand for currency A decreases and, as a consequence, its value does as well. The interaction of economic policies and economic agents could allow jumps between multiple equilibria without having an impact  on fundamentals.  Thus, an economy  with a fixed exchange rate regime could find itself in equilibrium, but a turn  in expectations  of economic agents could trigger policy measures, which cause a breakdown of the exchange rate  regime. In other  words, speculative  attacks  are  independent of the  consistency between the currency  policy and an exchange rate fixing. In short, second-generation models imply that currency crashes are far more difficult to predict, but economic  fundamentals  are still of importance, although  there  is no strong  relation  between  these indicators and a possible crisis.

While  second-generation models  assume  that  all speculators know about each others’ intentions, third generation  models eliminate this unlikely assumption in arguing that  fundamentals  can only be monitored with noise. Moreover, the amount  of noise in a signal may vary between speculators,  but at the same time results  in a new equilibrium.  Furthermore it is concluded that economic  fundamentals  might not signal an upcoming crisis, like in second-generation models, but  speculators  would still attack  the  currency,  due to the uncertainty  of expectations  of other  economic agents. Apart from that, third-generation models are based on structural  weaknesses, e.g., foreign currency debt  exposure  in the  corporate  and financial sector. Finally, these models are characterized  by moral hazard, imperfect information, and the exorbitant upend downturns  in international lending and asset pricing.

In view of the above, currency  crises can be considered to be diverse in their nature  and, as a consequence, in their origination. Very often currency crises accompany or are accompanied by banking crises.

Bibliography:   

  1. Irving Fisher,  The  Purchasing  Power  of Money:  Its Determination  and  Relation to Credit Interest and  Crises (Gardners  Books, 2007);
  2. International Organization  of Standardization, ISO 4217, www.iso.org (cited March 2009);
  3. L. Kaminsky, “Currency Crises: Are They All the Same?” Journal of International Money and Finance (v.25, 2006);
  4. L. Kaminsky, S. Lizondo, and C. M. Reinhart, “Leading Indicators of Currency  Crises,” IMF 79 (1997);
  5. Krugman, “A Model of Balance-of-Payments Crises,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking (v.11/3, 1979);
  6. Allan H. Meltzer, A History of the Federal Reserve (University of Chicago Press, 2003);
  7. Emilie Rutledge, Monetary Union in the Gulf: Prospects for a Single Currency in the Arabian Peninsula (Routledge, 2009);
  8. Schardax, “An Early Warning Model for Currency  Crises in Central and Eastern Europe,” Focus on Transition 1 (OeNB, 2002);
  9. J. G. Vlaar, “Currency Crisis Models for Emerging Markets,” DNB Research Reports, Research Memorandum WO&E (n.595/9928, 2000).

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