Dirty Float Essay

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“Dirty” float, also called managed float, is the result of intervention by a nation’s government  or central bank in the behavior of its currency  on the foreign exchange market. Not a fixed exchange rate, in which the value of a currency is pegged in a static relationship to some other value (like gold or a specific foreign currency), dirty float refers to an otherwise  floating exchange rate governed principally by market forces but occasionally guided—the waters dirtied—by corrective intervention.

When the international economy becomes uncertain and the exchange rate of a currency on the foreign  exchange  market  fluctuates  too  wildly or  in response  to  artificial influences  like the  actions  of currency speculators,  the consequences  can be dire: the depreciation  of the country’s currency, rising inflation,  reduced  economic  efficiency and  growth, and the necessity for greater taxes on trade and foreign investment.

Currency  fluctuations  can curtail  the  benefits  of globalization by forcing a country to shutter  some of the doors between it and the outside world, in order to keep the financial weather at bay. In such a volatile  environment,   it  becomes  necessary  to  smooth out exchange rate fluctuations through  the intervention of the central bank (or some other  government authority).

Central bank intervention to manage the exchange rate can be accomplished through a variety of means. To influence daily fluctuations,  the central bank can buy or sell its own currency, just as central banks have bought or sold government-issued securities to affect the supply and demand of their currencies. Short and medium-term fluctuations can be dealt with by delaying the exchange receipts and payments in exports and imports, and the movement of a currency’s exchange rate can be resisted or slowed by putting restrictions on the market, like the cash reserve ratio or statutory liquidity ratio.

Furthermore, the central bank can put a ceiling on the credit  extended  to foreign firms, restricting  the flow of currency  from  the  country.  Direct  foreign investment  can be limited too, restricting  the flow of foreign currencies into the country, as well as domestic firms’ dependence  on those  currencies  and thus vulnerability to foreign economic  mishaps. In some cases, the central bank can limit the amount of money that  domestic  investors  can put  in overseas investments, to a similar end. Borrowing and lending operations can be managed to maintain an equilibrium in balance of payments.

The exposure  and  outflow  of the  country’s currency can also be limited by limiting the repatriation of dividends, interest, and royalty payments. Interest rates can be adjusted  in order  to impact  the health of the currency, as they often are for other economic matters as well.

The sense and effectiveness of such manipulations is sometimes called into question. In the case of real calamities  like the  Asian financial crisis of the  late 1990s, such intervention seemed limited in its positive impact; in the economic  uncertainty  of 2007 to the  present,  it is difficult to tell how much  trouble central  banks have saved their  respective countries. The power  of speculating  hedge  funds  is vast and takes effect swiftly.

Bibliography:   

  1. Ann Berg, “Money’s Sordid Tale of Dirty Floats, Debasement and Doom,” Futures (v.35/11, September 2006);
  2. Alan Greenspan, “The Roots of the Mortgage Crisis: Bubbles Cannot  Be Safely Defused  by Monetary Policy Before the  Speculative Fever Breaks on Its Own,” Wall Street Journal (December 12, 2007);
  3. William Greider, One World, Ready or Not (Penguin Press, 1997);
  4. Peter A. McKay, “Scammers Operating  on  Periphery  Of CFTC’s Domain Lure Little Guy With Fantastic Promises of Profits,” Wall  Street Journal (July 26, 2005);
  5. Gregory J. Millman, Around the World on a Trillion Dollars a Day (Bantam Press, 1995);
  6. John J. Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets (New York Institute of Finance, 1999);
  7. Pradip Shah, “Dirty Float Begets Dirty Trade” Businessline (June 3, 2004);
  8. Brian J. Stark, Special Situation Investing: Hedging, Arbitrage, and Liquidation  (Dow-Jones Publishers, 1983).

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