Export-Oriented Development Essay

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Export-oriented  development  was a set  of market driven prescriptions  based on the  policies followed by high-growth developing countries. Their adoption in developing countries was driven by a need to overcome the failures caused by inward-oriented, state driven industrial policies. Performance  of export-led development  has  been  mixed,  leading  to  criticism and the proposal of alternative routes to development based on the creation of sustainable societies.

Industrial   policy  is  defined  as  an  intervention or policy by government  that  attempts  to alter  the local sectoral  structure   of production toward  sectors that are expected to achieve higher levels of economic growth. These interventions  can be direct, in the form of grants, or indirect, in the form of tariffs, trade restriction, and exchange rate management. Historically, these policies have been used by developing countries  in an attempt  to move from low to high income status and have been the subject of a significant amount  of research  to determine  successful paths to development.

Prior to World War II, world trade was determined by comparative  advantage,  with  each  country  producing and exporting  the items that  they could create competitively. Countries  such as those in Western Europe and the United States focused on the production of manufactured goods as they possessed the skills and technology, exporting  these goods to developing countries.  Nonindustrialized countries  specialized in the production of commodities or raw materials, most of which were transformed into finished products  by firms in developed countries.  During  World  War  II, however, industrialized  countries  shifted  production to military goods, leaving developing countries  with shortages of consumer goods. Immediately after World War II, prices of the commodities  that the developing countries traded for manufactured goods began falling, meaning that developing countries had to spend more of the foreign exchange they earned from commodity production to import manufactured goods.

As a result of these forces, many low and middle-income countries began ambitious programs after World  War  II to move from commodity  producers to manufactured-goods exporters.  The intent  was to promote  local industries  to produce  substitutes  for goods that  were imported  in order  to conserve foreign exchange and promote  self-sufficiency. Targets were set for industrial investment and output growth, many of which attempted to change composition  of industrial  output  from  simple  goods  requiring  little processing to complex manufactured items. Less developed  countries’  governments   employed  three major policy tools in the attempt  to guide industrial development within the domestic market—direct public investment  in enterprises,  licensing of private industrial  activities, and the establishment  of development banks.

The state became the dominant actor in local markets, producing goods directly and regulating the production of other items. The intention  was to overcome local limitations by providing the tools required for large-scale industry: modern  facilities, the ability to create new products, and distribution  capabilities. To help these industries  develop, the newly formed industries or infant industries were protected and supported. Protection took the form of tariffs, import quotas, and exchange rate controls  to provide a cost advantage  to  local producers.  Industries  also were supported  through  licensing schemes  to reduce  the cost of capital goods acquisition and low cost loans.

Under these policies, Latin America improved rapidly from  1950 to 1970, with the  major  economies experiencing  sustained  growth rates of over 5 percent.  Growth  ended  with global financial liberalization  in the  1970s following the  breakdown  of the  Bretton  Woods  system  resulting  in  increased debt, inflation, and stalled growth during the 1980s in Latin America. Import  substitution brought  several  problems.  Heavy protection and  subsidy promoted inefficient industries, with customers in these countries  forced to pay higher  prices than  imports for locally produced products. The expected employment benefits in terms of higher-skilled jobs did not materialize, and in many countries  the employment situation  deteriorated. In many cases, imports  actually increased, as infant industries brought in foreign capital goods and paid out royalties to obtain licenses for foreign technology.

While import substitution was failing in Latin America  and  elsewhere,  Japan began  its  phenomenal sustained  growth  after World  War II, followed by South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore. International agencies  took  notice  and  began  prescribing the practices of these countries to developing countries, encouraging them to shift from state-led to market-led  development.  Some of these  policy lessons were summarized  in the form of the “Washington Consensus.” a listing of policy prescriptions  created by economist John Williamson in 1989.

Generally, governments  were encouraged  to pursue macroeconomic stability, reduce  the role of the state  in the  local economy  and  open  their  markets to international competition  in exchange for market access from other  countries.  Increased international competition  would force inefficient local industries to close or upgrade to improve productivity. Opening of financial and  product  markets  would  encourage foreign investment, bringing new technology. Finally, increased market access to developed countries would boost exports of locally produced  items. The combination of these factors would boost domestic income and increase economic growth.

Criticism

Variations on these policy prescriptions  became the dominant  development ideology in the 1990s, implemented  by countries  in  Latin  America,  Asia, and Africa in  their  pursuit  of increased  growth.  However, many countries  did not achieve the promise of high growth and the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s opened  the export-led  model to criticism. As the Asian crisis demonstrated, financial liberalization can cause rapid outflows as well as inflows of capital, crippling economies.

The overwhelming  focus on  exports  led to  several additional problems. Many developing countries entered  the same markets  for manufactured goods, resulting in overcapacity and price competition. Income  from  these  exports  was therefore  reduced as prices were lower than  predicted.  Some developing countries  were willing to reduce the standards  of worker and environmental protection to attract  foreign  investment,  with  potential  long-term  damage from environmental degradation. Multinational firms generally tended to make investments with mature or low-skill technology,  retaining  intellectual  property development  in  developed  countries.  As such,  the promised technological gains were never realized and local industry remained underdeveloped. Developing countries  were also vulnerable  to volatility in their export markets; slowdown in demand  would reduce sales of their exports.

Recently,  economists  have  used  the  above  and other  arguments  to propose  a broader-based view of development.  In  this  perspective,  development should take a long-term  view and focus on improving the  living standards  of people  in a sustainable manner  while being  sensitive  to  local conditions.

Countries  should also focus on improving the local institutional  framework so that they are better  able to monitor  and control  development.  The idea is to move away from  a series of rigid policy prescriptions to a range of instruments that can be selected to improve local performance  in specific economic and social contexts.

Bibliography:   

  1. Dervis and J. Page, “Industrial Policy In Developing Countries,” Journal of Comparative Economics (v.8, 1984);
  2. Philipp Fink, Purchased Development: The Irish Republic’s Export Oriented Development Strategy (Lit, 2004);
  3. Gore, “The Rise and Fall of the Washington Consensus as a Paradigm for Developing Countries,” World Development (v.28/5, 2000);
  4. Sarkar and H. Singer, “Manufactured Exports of Developing Countries and their Terms of Trade since 1965,” World Development (v.19, 1991);
  5. Anjum Siddiqui, India and South Asia: Economic Developments in the Age of Globalization (M.E. Sharpe, 2007);
  6. Williamson, “The Washington Consensus  Revisited,” in Economic and Social Development  into the XXI Century by L. Emmerij (Inter-American Development Bank, distributed  by Johsn Hopkins University Press, 1997);
  7. Wang, F. Gao, and J. Qu, “Thought about Development of Export-oriented Economy,” Issues in Agricultural Economy (v.23/270, 2002);
  8. Tatsufumi Yamagata, The Garment Industry in Cambodia: Its Role in  Poverty Reduction  Through  Export-Oriented Development (Institute of Developing Economies, 2006).

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